Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Chief Justice R K Agrawal elevated as Judge of Supreme Court



BS 12 Feb 14

The Chief Justice of Madras High Court Rajesh KumarAgrawal was today elevated as the Judge of Supreme Court.

The warrant of appointment as Supreme Court Judge was received this evening by the High Court. 

Justice Agrawal was Central Government Senior Standing Counsel and was appointed as Permanent Judge ofAllahabad High Court on February 5, 1999. 

He was appointed Acting Chief Justice of Madras High Court on February 7 last year and made Chief Justice on November 23.


Kingfisher results not to acceptable standards: auditors

With planes remaining on the ground, the airline had nil sales in the reporting quarter, similar to zero sales a year ago. File photo.
With planes remaining on the ground, the airline had nil sales in the reporting quarter,
 similar to zero sales a year ago. File photo. 

PTI 12 Feb 14

Auditors of grounded Kingfisher Airlines on Wednesday said the company’s financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2013, are not in accordance with the “generally accepted accounting standards”.
Kingfisher Airlines reported a net loss of Rs. 822.42 crore for the third quarter ended December 31, 2013.
The airline which has not flown for more than a year, had reported a loss of Rs. 755.17 crore a year earlier.
With planes remaining on the ground, the airline had nil sales in the reporting quarter, similar to zero sales a year ago.
The auditors, B.K. Ramadhyani & Co., said the accounting method used by the airline to calculate costs incurred on maintenance and repairs of aircraft was “not in accordance with generally accepted accounting standards prevalent in India.”
For the nine-month period ended December 31, 2013, losses would have been lower at Rs. 2,636 crore, the report stated.
Kingfisher during this period reported a net loss of Rs. 2,694.89 crore.
Besides, the company’s reserves as on March 31, 2013, would have been debit of Rs. 14,340 crore as against the reported figure of debit of Rs. 14,281 crore, it said.
The auditors have drawn the attention to Kingfisher’s financial results being prepared on a going concern basis, notwithstanding the fact that the company’s net worth is eroded, the scheduled air operator’s permit issued by the DGCA has lapsed, the Karnataka High Court having admitted petitions by the consortium of bankers and one unsecured creditor for winding up of the company and several other winding up petitions pending before the court.
“These events cast significant doubt on the ability of the company to continue as a going concern,” the report noted.
“The appropriateness of the said basis is inter-alia dependent on the company’s ability to obtain renewal of the permit, infuse requisite funds for meeting its obligations, withdrawal of winding up petitions, rescheduling of debt, other liabilities and resuming normal operations,” they said.
“Estimates of number of unflown tickets and their average value, based on which management has reportedly estimated the amount of unearned revenue, not being drawn from accounting records, could not be reviewed by us,” the review report said.
“The company did not have any operations during the period under review in view of the expiry of its Scheduled Air Operator’s Permit. The company has filed necessary application to the DGCA to renew the permit and has been exploring various options to recapitalise and resume operations,” Kingfisher said in a stock exchange filing.

Tuesday, February 11, 2014

Oriental Bank mulls selling Rs. 1,000-cr bad loans to asset reconstruction firms


B L :KRSrivats  February 10:  2014

The Oriental Bank of Commerce (OBC) is likely to sell bad loans worth Rs. 800-1,000 crore to asset reconstruction firms this quarter, SL Bansal, Chairman and Managing Director, has said.
The public sector bank had last resorted to sale of assets to asset reconstruction companies (ARCs) about four years ago.

In recent years, banks have been reluctant to sell their bad loans to ARCs, which seek to acquire them at a discount and recover the money from defaulters.

But the public sector lenders’ stance had changed recently with rising bad debts in the banking system prompting them to shed non-performing assets to ARCs.

To reduce the stress on asset quality, many banks, including Bank of India, Allahabad Bank, United Bank and UCO Bank, have resorted to sale of bad debts to ARCs.

The biggest beneficiary of banks’ move to sell bad debts in the current fiscal could be the Asset Reconstruction Company of India Ltd (Arcil), which is India’s first ARC and a dominant player in the distressed assets market.

As against acquisition of bad loans worth Rs. 740 crore in 2012-13, Arcil is looking to acquire assets worthRs. 2,000 crore this financial year.

How bad are bad assets of banks?



Importance of tech-savvy banking: How to insulate the economy from bank strikes
Bank of Baroda’s net NPAs have grown from Rs1,544 crore to Rs6,634 crore
 in past eight quarters. Photo: Rituparna Banerjee/Mint

Tamal Bandyopadhyay   Livemint :9 Feb 2014

Gross NPAs of 11 banks in BSE’s Bankex have risen in the December quarter over the preceding three months


State-run United Bank of India on Friday reported a Rs.1,238.08 crore net loss in the December quarter after setting aside Rs.1,857.83 crore to provide for bad loans. Following the hefty provision, its net non-performing assets (NPAs) were pegged at 7.52% of total advances. The Kolkata-based bank’s gross NPAs are much higher at 10.82%—reminiscent of the banking industry’s health in the late-1990s when high interest rates and tight liquidity led to large-scale defaults by corporations and banks’ bad assets and restructured loans zoomed.
While United Bank’s gross bad assets are in the double digits, there are six other state-run banks that have more than 5% gross NPAs—State Bank of Mysore (6.56%), Central Bank of India (6.48%), Andhra Bank (5.55%),Allahabad Bank (5.47%), IDBI Bank Ltd (5.44%) and Indian Overseas Bank(5.27%). State Bank of India, the nation’s largest lender, is yet to announce its December quarter earnings. In the September quarter, its gross NPAs were 5.64%. Punjab National Bank had 5.14% gross NPAs in the September quarter but managed to bring it down to 4.96% in the three months ended 31 December.
After setting aside hefty sums of money that dented profits, at least five Indian banks now have more than 3% net NPAs.
Let’s take a closer look at the universe of Bankex, 12 of the 41 listed banks that constitute BSE Ltd’s banking index. Since State Bank of India has not yet announced its earnings, we can look at the health of 11 banks. Collectively, their net NPAs have more than doubled in the past eight quarters—between March 2012 and December 2013—from Rs.16,275 crore to Rs.34,792 crore. Among these banks, Bank of Baroda is the worst affected. Its net NPAs have grown from Rs.1,544 crore to Rs.6,634 crore in past eight quarters. The gross NPAs of this set of bank have not doubled during this period but have risen substantially, from Rs.38,737 crore to Rs.66,142 crore. Here too, Bank of Baroda has put up the poorest show. Its gross NPAs have grown fromRs.4,465 crore to Rs.11,936 crore.
During this period, operating profits of these 11 banks collectively have risen from Rs.17,785 crore to Rs.21,779 crore. Despite that their net profits virtually remained flat—Rs.10,386 crore in March 2012 and Rs.10,593 crore in December. The reason behind this is the about 50% growth in provisions. In March 2012, these banks had set aside Rs.4,149 crore to take care of bad assets. This amount has risen to Rs.6,310 crore in December 2013. In other words, had these banks not been saddled with bad assets and not required to set aside money, their profits would have risen. The state of affairs in banks outside Bankex is far worse.
One worrying factor about the health of Indian banks is that private banks, which have till now managed to remain insulated from the phenomenon of bad assets, are showing cracks. This is not a happy sign. Gross NPAs of five of the 11 banks in Bankex have risen in the December quarter over the preceding three months and four of them are private banks. Similarly, net NPAs of seven banks in this pack have risen in the December quarter and five of them are private banks. For instance, net NPAs of Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd have risen from 0.96% to 1.10%. The list includes ICICI Bank Ltd (from 0.85% to 0.94%); IndusInd Bank Ltd (from 0.22% to 0.31%); Axis Bank Ltd(from 0.37% to 0.42%); and Yes Bank Ltd (from 0.04% to 0.08%).
Indeed, the quantum of growth is not high—a few basis points for many of them—but could signify the beginning of a spillover of bad assets from public sector banks to their counterparts in the private sector. This is bound to happen if the Indian economy takes longer to get back its growth momentum. If the slowdown persists for longer, borrowers’ ability to pay back loans will be severely affected and both public and private banks will suffer. Higher bad loans affect banks’ profitability as they need to set aside more money to take care of such loans. As a result of this, they would also need more capital as otherwise they will not be able to grow their loan book. Taxpayers’ money is used to recapitalize public sector banks almost every year but since that is not possible for private banks, if they get affected by a rise in bad loans in their books, it might turn out to be a threat to systematic stability. A stable government at the centre after the 2014 general election, faster project clearances and growth impulse coming back in Asia’s third largest economy are key to financial sector stability in India.
On its part, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has taken the first step to protect the banking system by allowing banks to use up to one-third of the amount they have set aside as the so-called counter-cyclical buffers to make provisions for bad loans. Banks are being allowed to use such reserves to make specific provisions for NPAs, as per the policy approved by their board of directors. This is the first instance of the central bank allowing commercial banks to use emergency provisions since they started creating the reserves in 2010. Creation of such a reserve was under discussion since 2006 when Y.V. Reddy was the RBI governor.
RBI has also come out with a framework for a corrective action plan that will offer incentives to banks for early identification of stressed assets, timely revamp of unviable accounts and fast steps for recovery or sale of assets when a loan faces the risk of turning bad.
Tamal Bandyopadhyay keeps a close eye on everything banking from his perch as Mint’s deputy managing editor in Mumbai. He is also the author of A Bank for the Buck, a book on HDFC Bank.

Bank strike enters day 2: All you need to know


Bank strike enters day 2: All you need to know
Fist Biz Feb 11,2014 10 mts ago
Banking operations across India were hit on Monday as members of 
an umbrella trade union of 47 banks began a two-day strike,
 opposing the proposed banking sector reforms and demanding 
immediate revision in wages. PTI

New Delhi: Operations in public sector banks were hit as their employees started a two-day strike on Monday to press for a wage revision even as Finance Minister P Chidambaram appealed to them to recognise that all profits cannot be used to pay higher salaries.
Services such as cheque clearances and withdrawing and depositing of money in PSU bank branches were affected. However, ATMs provided some relief to retail customers. Private sector banks such as ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank and Axis Bank functioned normally because their staff were not on strike.
Reports from various regions said branches of public sector banks were not operational. The government extended the closing date of a follow-on public offering of shares of Engineers India Ltd by two days to February 12 in view of the disrupted banking services.
"All over the country, about 10 crore cheques worth Rs 7,40,000 crore could not be cleared. In Chennai clearing house, about 90 lakh cheques worth about Rs 64,000 crore could not be processed in clearing," C.H. Venkatachalam, general secretary, All India Bank Employees' Association (AIBEA), told IANS from Chennai.
Government transactions, foreign exchange transactions and money market operations were also affected.
"All our RTGS (Real Time Gross Settlements) involving clearing of payments with banks that are on strike are affected," an executive of a foreign bank based in Delhi and not part of the strike told IANS.
In Mumbai, all branches of public sector banks, private banks, many foreign banks in the city, and the regional rural bank branches were deserted. "The strike is total. Over a million employees in all these banks, barring the cooperative sector banks, are taking part with around 90,000 bank branches to remain shut for two days for our various demands," AIBEA vice-president Vishwas Utagi told IANS
With the strike slated to continue on Tuesday, customers face the prospect of more ATMs running dry without cash replenishment.
Chidambaram said on Monday that it cannot be that all profits are used to declare dividend and to provide enhanced wages and allowances to bank employees.
"I will appeal to employees and officers of banks to recognise that banks profits, banks earnings have other claims. While claims of officers, staff and employees must be duly acknowledged, and a fair and just (wage) settlement is arrived at, there are other claimants to banks' profit," Finance Minister P Chidambaram said.
Banks, including the State Bank of India, the country's largest, had informed customers in advance about the likely inconvenience they would face during the strike. The unions had rejected the IBA's offer of a 10 percent wage hike during a conciliation meeting held on February 6 with the Chief Labour Commissioner.
The offer made by bank managements was not in line with rising inflation, General Secretary of National Organisation of Bank Workers Ashwini Rana said. "Since IBA and government did not settle our demands, the strike has been forced on us," All India Bank Employees' Association General Secretary C H Venkatachalam said. "We are sorry that the banking public would have been inconvenienced by this strike due to the non-serious approach of the IBA by not improving their offer on wage increase and discussing our concerns on the banking sector reforms," he said.
The wage revision of public sector bank employees has been due since November 2012. UFBU is an umbrella organisation of nine bank employee and officer unions. There are 27 public sector banks in the country with a combined employee strength of about 8 lakh. There are about 50,000 branches of these banks across the country.
Agencies 

When a PSU bank top job goes for Rs 40 cr, and liquor barons get away with murder

When a PSU bank top job goes for Rs 40 cr, and liquor barons get away with murder
 A conversation with an ex-banker tells us how public sector banks
 are influenced by politicians and getting corrupted by the system, 
and how small businessmen are more honest than big ones. 
Thinkstock Images

FirstBiz : Santosh Nair ; Feb 10 ,2014

Non-performing assets (NPAs) in the banking sector, or bad loans as they are commonly known, have been making headlines for the past many months now. The economic downturn has certainly weakened the ability of many borrowers to repay their loans on time. Some businesses have been hit hard by regulatory changes. Still, many believe that a good number of bad loan cases are the result of dubious promoters who know the loopholes in the system, connivance with corrupt bankers and political interference.
To get a ringside view of the situation, I met up with R, a former bank chairman, over breakfast, at an Udipi joint near his place in suburban Mumbai. For obvious reasons we can’t take names here.
We chatted for nearly an hour. R had worked with the government in different capacities before taking over as chairman of a mid-sized quasi-public sector bank.
Let me cut to the explosive points first, and then tell you the story of the conversation from the beginning.
- R discovered that many jobs of bank chairman involve bribing politicians.
- He found that from liquor barons to small businessmen, loans go bad because of political influence.
- Banks are clandestinely participating in project loans with long gestation periods when they are not equipped to judge the viability of projects and business models.
Little wonder, the banking system is now sitting on a volcano of bad loans – maybe as much as 10 percent of all loans
“All non-performing loans do not necessarily result from corruption; at the same time, not all bad loans are the result of a slowing economy. It is a combination of factors that causes a loan to go bad,” R said after we had placed our order.
“Every bank has a credit appraisal system, based on which loans are sanctioned. Banks have to check the durability of the business model, promoters’ credentials and other such aspects before lending money. There are instances where the business model may be sound, but becomes the victim of a weak environment.
“Also, banks may have a good credit appraisal system in place, but the officials implementing the system may be corrupt. In some instances, the officials may be honest but the credit appraisal system itself may not be good enough to be able to assess the risks associated with some complex business models. And there are cases where you have corrupt officials and a weak appraisal system - which is the perfect breeding ground for bad loans.
“The problem of bad loans has been aggravated by the fact that banks are trained to lend to corporates for their working capital requirements, and not for projects with long gestation periods. So when you lend to a business you don’t understand fully, and with restrictions imposed by the system, that is the starting point for trouble.
“The flaw in the system is that banks are not allowed to make a loan with a tenure of more than seven years, because no depositors park their money with banks for more than that period. But many large projects take more than 10 years to start generating cash flows, and even banks are aware of this problem while agreeing to finance the project.
“So many companies pre-date their COD (commercial operations date) of the project, even though there is no chance of it becoming operational on that date. From the COD, the project becomes eligible for working capital loans from the bank. But that is just an eye-wash because the money is actually still being used for project finance. In three years, the working capital loan limit too would be exhausted, and the project would still not have started generating money.
“Ideally, only one-third of a bank’s loan book should be exposed to project finance, and the rest should be working capital loans. But if you look at the loan books of most PSUs at present, it is about 70 percent project finance and 30 percent working capital loans.
“Project finance loans are best done best by financial institutions like the erstwhile IDBI and ICICI, which understand infrastructure projects better,” he said.
Over a crisp rawa sada dosa, R looked back on his days at his bank fondly, and said his strategy of focusing on small businesses paid off well.
"I focussed on lending to small and medium enterprises instead of large corporates. And though loans to SMEs are risky, small businessmen are more honest when it comes to repaying loans. That’s because it is difficult for them to get loans, and even one black mark against their name would make it twice as hard. And that is why I feel RBI’s strategy of combating inflation by keeping interest rates high could be counterproductive. The RBI benchmark rate may be 8 percent, but the effective cost of loans for SMEs is 15-16 percent. And these businesses account for almost 60 percent of the GDP. How can you revive the economy by hurting the very segment that contributes a major chunk to growth?,” R asked.
On the contrary, some of the large corporates turned out to be slippery customers when the economy went into a downturn, he said.
R told me how he had a liquor baron literally on his knees when that man tried to default on a loan.”He was behind on his interest payment, and refused to provide additional guarantees when asked for. First he got a cabinet minister to intervene, and when I refused to budge, he got a Chief Minister to call and put pressure on me to go easy on him. I made it clear that he would be shown no leniency. Finally I called up the liquor baron himself and told him that I was going to dump the shares of his flagship company he had placed with me as collateral, and that I was personally flying down to Mumbai to oversee the sale of the shares. For all that carefully crafted media image of a suave and unflappable industry captain, the man panicked and begged me not to sell the shares. He then flew down to my office and provided the additional guarantees that I had asked for. I then wondered why my counterparts at other banks had not been so aggressive,” R said.
R says too often when promoters default on loans and then get their loans restructured on very favourable terms, it is often with the connivance of top officials of the bank.
"Either the chairmen of the banks have taken kickbacks from the promoters or they are unable to withstand pressure from their political bosses. Taking on the ministry is not easy, and more so if you owe your current job to political patronage. Even I got invitations for yacht parties hosted by the liquor baron where the guests would be ‘well looked after.’ I never used to attend them, but I know plenty of chairmen who used to attend those parties. Later it came as no surprise when banks were willing to settle for a lower amount than what they could have got, when loans were restructured," R said.
"On one occasion, a prominent businessman, whom I kept avoiding because I knew his intent, landed up at my house early in the morning with a travel bag containing Rs 2 crore. I panicked and had to call the guards to have him thrown out," R says.
And R did not mind trying unconventional methods, if he knew there was a good chance of recovering money from errant borrowers. He told me of an incident involving the promoter of a mid-size firm, who had borrowed Rs 70 crore from his bank.
"He was not paying up despite repeated reminders. I knew he could pay if he chose to because I kept hearing about his flashy lifestyle. So I did something that no bank chairman would have dared to do. I somehow convinced him to issue a cheque of Rs 5 lakh so that I could show a part payment and issue him a fresh loan. He issued me a cheque, and knowing fully that it would bounce, I deposited it in a branch in the area where my bank was headquartered. We then filed a case against him and he was forced to come over in response to the court's summons. Once he came where I wanted him to, I had him arrested using my influence. I told the cops to ‘treat him well’, which they did to good effect. I was surprised to get calls from the offices of chief ministers of two states, requesting that the man be released. I never realised that this apparently small-time businessman was so well connected. But I did not relent. In fact, I went to the lock-up and told him that unless he agreed to repay the loan, he would rot there, without anybody to save him," R said.
"You may find this hard to believe," R continued, "but the moment he was released, he came to my office with head bowed and palms joined as if in prayer and said: I will do as you say. He finally paid up Rs 45 crore; that was better than getting nothing. On another occasion, a businessman who owed me Rs 60 crore came up to me saying that if he was given another Rs 20 crore and time till March, he would repay the entire amount. On a hunch, I agreed to the deal, and the man was good on his word. But there were wrong decisions. A businessman owed me Rs 13 crore, and was willing to settle for Rs 9 crore, but I insisted for Rs 11 crore. Eventually he defaulted and the bank got nothing," R said.
R recollected quite a few interesting incidents. He told me of an instance when a ministry official publicly chided PSU banks for lending to a acquisition-hungry company that was now sitting on a huge pile of debt and unable to repay it.
“I remember him saying on a business channel that he found it shocking that banks had lent money to the company despite its businesses steadily losing money. I was surprised when just a week later, I received a call from the same gentleman directing me to extend a loan to that company,” R said.
“I reminded him about what he had spoken on TV the week before. He was quite blasé about it. “Of course R, one has to say all kind of things; please see what you can do best for this company.” I told him I would not make the loan, but he tried to be persuasive. The following day, the chief financial officer of that company rang me up with the details of the loan. At the end of the brief conversation, he asked me arrogantly: “So by when can we expect the loan.” I told him he could expect it when I was no longer working for the bank.
And while the bank’s profits kept rising, R had ended up antagonising too many powerful people. And it was a matter of time before they got back at him.
"I had sanctioned a hefty loan to a large business group. A week later the owner of that group called me up saying that he had got a call from an influential  politician's office to pay up a certain amount, which would then be adjusted against his dues to the bank… under the NPA head, of course. I called up the politician and made it clear that my bank would support no such deal. A few days later I got a call from a senior ministry official asking me if I would interested in taking charge of another PSU bank. I knew this time I had over reached myself, and my days in the current job were numbered. So I agreed to the offer. But there was no word from the finance ministry after that. A few weeks later, I called that person and asked if there was some progress on the earlier conversation. I was told that post could be mine if I was willing to shell out money.
"Do you know what the going rate for a PSU bank chairman's post is? Take a wild guess," he said.
"Rs 10 crore," I replied.
"It can go up to as much as Rs 40 crore, depending on the importance of the bank. I told him that I don't have even Rs 4 crore on me, leave alone Rs 40 crore. I never heard from him again," R said.
I found the Rs 40 crore figure a bit hard to digest. Not to say that every single bank chairman is corrupt, but then every chairman sanctions a few thousand crores of loans during his brief tenure at the helm of the bank. Seen in the context of the loan book size, the Rs 40 crore does not appear too large.
If this insight from an ex-banker is anywhere near the truth, god help public sector bankers. The system is corrupted to the core by the crony-capitalist-corrupt-politician nexus.

United Bank on the brink: How UPA is leaving behind a full-blown banking crisis


United Bank on the brink: How UPA is leaving behind a full-blown banking crisis
FP  R Jagannathan  1 mt ago
Even as our politicians are slugging it out in the run-up to elections 2014, large sections of the Indian banking system are about to be gutted by bad loans – something that the two-day public sector bank staff strike will do nothing to mitigate.
By the time the next government is sworn in, India will run smack into a full-blown financial sector crisis led by one or two about-to-fail public sector banks.
Warning signals are flashing in several banks, with the United Bank of India (UBI) being the first to send up distress flares by stopping almost all new loans. According to a Mint report that quotes unnamed bank officials, no fresh loans are to be made without the backing of fixed deposit as collateral - as an interim measure.
Last Friday (7 February) Over the weekend, the bank reported a humongous Rs 1,238 crore third quarter lossdespite providing Rs 1,858 crore for bad loans. In the quarter before that, the bank had notched up a Rs 489 crore loss, and an alarmed Reserve Bank of India (RBI), after a forensic audit, imposed a Rs 10 crore limit on fresh bank loans. Now, of course, all loans are off.
The stock markets are already reflecting this reality. You can buy United Bank if you have just around Rs 1,500 crore - for that's the market capitalisation of the bank on the Bombay Stock Exchange.
But you still wouldn't get a bargain, for what is visible is only the tip of the bad loan iceberg.
The bank’s bad loan book is nearly 11 percent of total loans (Rs 8,545 crore), and the losses not provided for – also known as net non-performing assets – are at 7.5 percent of the loan book (or Rs 5,630 crore). If you add the bank’s restructured loans – loans that would have gone bad if not rescheduled – nearly 20 percent of the bank’s loan book is contaminated.
With its capital adequacy depleting fast, it is no surprise that United Bank cannot really lend any more. In fact, its loan book was shrinking even before the management formally banned new loans. Between the second and third quarters, the bank’s loans actually shrank by around Rs 2,000 crore.
At the end of the third quarter ended 31 December 2013, the bank had a capital adequacy ratio of 9.93 – and by now the number could be hitting the bare minimum of 9 percent required under Basel norms.
So what does all this mean? It means if United Bank of India had not been a government-owned bank, it would have been on the brink – and a ripe candidate for merger or acquisition or closure. It has to be recapitalised fast – and the finance ministry has no cash.
But UBI is not the only public sector bank up the creek without a paddle – or capital. A whole host of public sector banks is in the same sinking boat, and, according to Tamal Bandyopadhyay, a keen observer of the banking scene, at least seven public sector banks – UBI, Punjab National Bank, Central Bank of India, Andhra Bank, IDBI Bank, Indian Overseas Bank and State Bank of Mysore – have gross bad loans (that is, bad loans before accounting for provisions) that are above five percent of their total advances.
And remember, the biggest daddy of them all, the State Bank of India (SBI) is yet to announce its results – due this Friday (14 February). God knows what kind of worms will crawl out of its closet. At the end of the second quarter, SBI had gross NPAs of 5.64 percent, and no one is betting the situation is going to be any better in the latest quarter.
By March-end 2014, the banking sector’s bad loans figure could be nearly Rs 3,00,000 crore. 
The RBI had flagged these concerns in its financial stability report of December, and noted: “Asset quality continues to be a major concern for SCBs (scheduled commercial banks). The GNPA (gross NPAs) ratio of SCBs increased to 4.2 percent as at end September 2013 from 3.4 percent of March 2013. The restructured standard advances also increased to 6 percent of total advances as at end September 2013 from 5.8 percent of March 2013. Overall the stressed advances rose significantly to 10.2 percent of total advances as at end September 2013 from 9.2 percent of March 2013. Among the bank-groups, the public sector banks continue to have distinctly higher stressed advances at 12.3 percent of total advances, of which restructured standard advances were around 7.4 percent.”
Not surprisingly, the market certainly does not believe that the banking industry is anywhere near a turnaround, as further evidenced by the fact that SBI’s own preferential issue of Rs 9,000 crore needed the Life Insurance Corporation to bail it out.
If the biggest Indian bank – which is too big to fail and whose solvency can never be in doubt – cannot raise money despite all the implicit sovereign guarantees embedded in it, this is a telling indictment of how our banks have been run – or rather, run into the ground.
The sad reality of Indian banking right now is that most of the public sector component is badly in need of capital at a time when the government is short of cash and needs to bring down its fiscal deficit.
In this situation, the government is asking the Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) to invest in bank capital – as it did in 2012. According to this Business Standard report, many public sector banks – among them Dena Bank – have approached it for capital. State Bank, as we know, has already been bailed out by LIC.
If LIC has to bail out many banks, including the biggest one, and if even public sector disinvestment needs LIC support masquerading as a sound investment decision, and if ONGC and Oil India are also supposed to bail out the same disinvestment plan by buying out a 10 percent stake in Indian Oil, it is clear that both disinvestment and bank recapitalisation are a hoax.
The UPA government is about to land India in a full-blown fiscal crisis whose first manifestations will be in the financial sector – especially banking.